Publications

This page lists publications arising from my research.

Preprints and submitted manuscripts

• Dylan J. Morris, Lauren Kennedy, Andrew J. Black, 2026. Bayesian inference for disease transmission models informed by viral dynamics. arXiv: arXiv:2604.20069v1.

Published (refereed journal articles)

• Robert Moss, Ruarai J. Tobin, Mitchell O’Hara-Wild, et al., 2026. Ensemble Forecasts of COVID-19 Activity to Support Australia’s Pandemic Response: 2020–22. PLoS Computational Biology 22(4): e1014199. doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1014199
• Dylan J. Morris, Lauren Kennedy, Andrew J. Black, 2025. Random time-shift approximation enables hierarchical Bayesian inference of mechanistic within-host viral dynamics models on large datasets. PLoS Computational Biology 21(12): e1013775. 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1013775.
• Dylan Morris, John Maclean and Andrew J. Black, 2024. Computation of random time-shift distributions for stochastic population models. Journal of Mathematical Biology, 89, 33, 10.1007/s00285-024-02132-6.
• Adrian J. Marcato, Andrew J. Black, Camelia R. Walker et al., 2022. Learnings from the Australian First Few X Household Transmission Project for COVID-19. Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific, 28, 100573, doi:10.1016/j.lanwpc.2022.100573